With the economic policy of positive non-interventionism pronounced dead by
the Hong Kong government, some prominent economists and politicians are
questioning whether it ever existed.
They have put forward the argument that positive non-interventionism was
nothing but an ideological myth that owed its prominence more to its numinous
label than to its tangible consequence. This, perhaps, should be an issue of
greater concern to economic theologians than to the business community and the
general public.
Known for their pragmatism, Hong Kong people have never shown much interest
in ideology. However, they understand well that the bedrock of Hong Kong's
prosperity consists of the rule of law, a low and simple tax regime, an
efficient and clean government bureaucracy and strong support from the mainland.
These elements, working together, have created a predictable environment in
which private enterprises, both domestic and foreign, can thrive.
Despite the policy name change, there is no indication that the Hong Kong
government is going to tinker much with the economic and social fundamentals
that have been widely credited for Hong Kong's growth from a trading outpost to
an international financial centre.
In the process, Hong Kong has contributed to, and benefited from, the
dramatic economic development on the mainland in general, and in the Pearl River
Delta (PRD) region in particular.
As the economy in the PRD region progresses into a new phase of development,
Hong Kong government planners and business leaders are calling for a
reassessment of Hong Kong's role.
The new Guangdong plan emphasizes the development of the services sector and
the development of the PRD's western region, which is less well connected to
Hong Kong. Moreover, the growth of the PRD's services sector could pose stiff
competition to many traditional services that have been provided by Hong Kong.
What's more, the competitive edge Hong Kong enjoys over the PRD cities in
such areas as logistics and other trade services is also seen to be eroding
rapidly. To many economists and commentators, the threat of marginalization
seems real enough.
Hong Kong's government has apparently seen the need to take a more active and
direct role in setting the direction for the future development of the economy,
while keeping the underlying social and economic system intact.
The government long ago identified financial services as a major pillar of
the Hong Kong economy and was seen to have intervened directly in various
occasions to ensure the property development of the banking sector and the
capital markets. The legislated merger of the four stock exchanges in the 1970s
was a case in point.
Acting to head off a potential banking crisis, the government has, on a
number of past occasions, employed public funds to bail out failing financial
institutions, despite warnings against the possible perpetuation of moral hazard
among banks.
In more recent years, the government has sought to strengthen and widen the
supervisory power of the Securities and Exchange Commission and tighten the
securities law to minimize abuse by unscrupulous listed company executives and
market intermediaries.
Meanwhile, the Monetary Authority of Hong Kong, the de facto central bank, is
taking the initiative to discuss with its counterpart on the mainland in
exploring new business opportunities that could enhance Hong Kong's role in the
development of the mainland's financial sector.
Adhering to its stated policy of remaining "small," the Hong Kong government
will never have too great an influence on the economy. But past experience has
shown that a little positive intervention may not turn out to be such a bad
thing, as long as the fundamentals remain unfettered.
(China Daily 10/10/2006 page4)